Prediction, odds, differential of USC vs. Colorado: Week 11 2022 college football picks, best bets from a proven blueprint

The Colorado Buffaloes are aiming for a massive upset on Friday night. Colorado travels to Los Angeles to take on the No. 8 USC Trojans in prime time. Colorado is 1-8 overall and 1-5 in the Pac-12 this season after a 39-point loss to Oregon in its last outing. USC is 8-1 to start the season, including a 6-1 conference record, and the Trojans defeated California by a 41-35 margin in the last tilt and remain very much in the playoff conversation. college football.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Trojans as local favorites by 34.5 points for this start at 9:30 pm ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or over/under, is 65.5 in the latest Colorado vs. USC. Before making any USC vs. Colorado, must see college football predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of nearly $3,000 for $100 players on their best college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed him has seen huge gains.

Now, the model has set his sights on Colorado vs. USC and simply pinned their CFB picks and predictions. He can head over to SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are various college football odds and betting lines for USC vs. Colorado:

  • USC spread off Colorado: USC -34.5
  • USC vs. Colorado plus/minus: 65.5 points
  • COL: The Buffaloes are 2-7 against the spread this season
  • USC: Trojans are 5-4 against the spread this season
  • USC vs. National Teams Colorado: See the selections here
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Why Colorado can cover

The Buffaloes have a dismal statistical profile this season, which is to be expected given the team’s win-loss record. However, Colorado has covered the spread in two of its last four games, and the Buffaloes will get a sizable cushion in a potential spot for USC to overlook. Colorado should also benefit from USC’s defensive shortcomings, with the Trojans producing 409.2 total yards per game this season.

USC is third-worst in the Pac-12 in passing defense, allowing 267 yards per game, and the Trojans are also in the bottom five of the conference in rushing defense (142.2 yards allowed per game). Opponents are generating 4.5 yards per carry against USC and, on the defensive end, Colorado has two of the top five tacklers in the Pac-12 this season in second-year safety Trevor Woods and senior linebacker Josh Chandler-Semedo. Both should play a critical role against USC’s explosive offense.

Why USC can cover

The Trojans are strong on offense, and on top of that, USC faces a porous Colorado defense. The Buffaloes rank last in the Pac-12 in total defense, allowing 483.2 yards per game, and Colorado is also last in the conference in allowing 232.6 rushing yards per game. Opponents are generating 5.8 yards per carry against Colorado and, in the air, the Buffaloes have allowed 21 touchdown passes while catching just three interceptions. USC is undefeated in 15 career meetings against Colorado, and the Trojans are also elite on offense, regardless of opponents.

The Trojans rank among the top seven in the country in points per play (7.2), points per game (41.0) and third-down efficiency (53.3%), with USC averaging nearly 500 total yards per game. USC is averaging 8.7 yards per pass attempt on the road to 313.7 yards per game, and the Trojans are also in the top five of the Pac-12 in rushing yards (182.2 per game) and yards per rush attempt (5.5). ). USC is well coached under Lincoln Riley, and the Trojans also have a dynamic quarterback in Caleb Williams, who ranks in the top five nationally in total yards per game, total touchdowns and touchdown-to-interception rate.

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How to make Colorado vs. USC

SportsLine’s model skews below point totals, with only one player projected to top 45 rushing yards. The model also says that one side of the differential affects more than 50% of the simulations. You can only view model selections on SportsLine.

So who wins Colorado against USC? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the difference Colorado vs. USC needs to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its college football teams, and find out.

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