Pittsburgh odds vs. West Virginia: 2022 College Football Picks, Backyard Brawl Predictions from a Tested Model

The West Virginia Mountaineers begin their season on Thursday when they take on the 17th-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers in a rivalry known as the Backyard Brawl. Thursday’s matchup will renew the Backyard Brawl series, which was last played in 2011. The Mountaineers (6-7 in 2021) are coming off a fifth-place finish in the Big 12, tied with Kansas State and four games behind the champion of the regular season. Oklahoma State. The Panthers (11-3 last season) won the ACC Coastal Division, two games better than Miami (Fla.).

Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is scheduled for 7 pm ET. The Panthers lead the all-time series 61-40-3, including a 41-22 lead in games played in Pittsburgh. The Panthers are 7.5-point favorites in the latest West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under of total points scored is set at 52. Before making any Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia or Week 1 college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of nearly $3,600 for $100 players on their top-rated college football picks against the spread. He enters Week 1 of the 2022 college football season riding a 45-32 streak in all of the top-rated college football money line and spread picks going back to 2021. Anyone who has followed him has seen large profits.

Now, the model has set her sights on Pitt vs. WVU and has posted its CFB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to check out the model picks. Here are various college football odds and betting lines for WVU vs. Pitt:

  • Difference between West Virginia and Pittsburgh: Pitt -7.5
  • West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh over/under: 52 points
  • West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh money line: WVU +250, Pitt -320
  • WVU: Mountaineers are 10-3 against the spread in their last games on Sept. 13
  • PITT: Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games
  • West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh picks: Check out the picks on SportsLine

Why Pittsburgh can cover

The Panthers’ offense, which averaged more than 40 points per game last season, got a boost from the transfer portal. With the graduation of Kenny Pickett, Pitt had a huge void to fill as a quarterback. Kedon Slovis, a senior, fills that role after transferring from USC and has been named the Panthers’ starter against the Mountaineers. In three seasons at Southern Cal, he played in 27 games, making 26 starts. In that stretch he completed 652 of 953 passes (68 percent) for 7,576 yards and 58 touchdowns with 24 interceptions. As a freshman in 2019, Slovis threw for 3,502 yards and 30 touchdowns with nine interceptions, completing 282 of 392 passes (72 percent).

Pitt also returns with his best running back in junior running back Israel Abanikanda. Abanikanda led the Panthers in rushing yards (651) and rushing touchdowns (seven) on 123 carries last season, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. He also led the team in kickoff returns, averaging a team-best 29.4 yards per attempt, returning seven kicks for 206 yards and a touchdown. That TD was a 98-yard return in a 48-38 win over Virginia on Nov. 20.

Why West Virginia can cover

Despite that, the Panthers aren’t a lock to bridge the gap between West Virginia and Pittsburgh. That’s because the Mountaineers know how to win and enter the season as the 15th-winningest program in college football. West Virginia is 91-34-4 all-time in season starts, including a 17-5 mark since 2000. The Mountaineers are 64-59-2 in road starts, including 19-14- 1 in season starts away from home.

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Junior JT Daniels, a transfer from Georgia, will start at quarterback from WVU. Daniels posted a 7-0 record as the Bulldogs’ starting quarterback. He was Georgia’s second-leading passer last season, completing 68 of 94 attempts for 722 yards and seven touchdowns. Daniels completed 22 of 30 passes for 135 yards in the season-opening win over No. 3 Clemson, but missed time due to injury and ultimately lost his starting job.

How to make picks from West Virginia vs. pittsburgh

SportsLine’s model skews below total points, projecting teams to combine for 49 points. The model also says that one side of the differential hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins WVU against Pitt? And which side of the difference affects more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed your college football picks.

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