Odds, Line, Broncos Vs. Colts: Thursday Night Football Picks, Computer Model NFL Predictions

A Thursday Night Football matchup features the Denver Broncos (2-2) hosting the Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) in a primetime battle. The Colts will be without star running back Jonathan Taylor, who is out with an ankle injury, while the Broncos will be without young running back Javonte Williams, who is out for the season with a torn ACL. Last Sunday, the Colts lost to the Tennessee Titans, 24-17. Similarly, Denver fell to the Las Vegas Raiders, 32-23.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as a three-point favorite in the latest Broncos vs. Colts. The plus/minus for total points is 42. Before making Colts vs. Broncos, be sure to check out NFL predictions and SportsLine’s projection model betting tips.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has raised nearly $7,000 for $100 players on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 140-105 streak in the top picks in the NFL dating back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in direct NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed him is way up there.

Now, the model has set his sights on Broncos vs. Colts and simply pinned their TNF picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selections. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Colts vs. Broncos:

  • Spread Broncos vs. Colts: Denver-3
  • Broncos vs. Colts over/under: 42 points
  • Broncos money line vs. Colts: Indianapolis +143, Denver -170
  • IND: Colts are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games following a straight loss
  • DEN: Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with losing road records
  • Broncos picks vs. Colts: See picks here

Why the Broncos can cover

Denver’s defensive line has players who can create pressure and chase down the quarterback. Defensive end Dre’Mont Jones is underrated and constantly making plays. Jones is solid against the run with quick moves to get to the backfield. The Ohio State product has 14 total tackles, three TFLs and two sacks. Bradley Chubb is another borderline force for the Broncos.

Chubb possesses long arms and a variety of moves to evade blockers. The 2020 Pro Bowler blasts off the line and is very active. He is leading the team in sacks (three) along with three tackles for loss. Cornerback Patrick Surtain II has been playing well during the first quarter of the season. Surtain II possesses elite size, length and instincts with flowing hips. The Alabama product thrives in man coverage, but is excellent in the zone. He has recorded a team-high 15 tackles with four pass deflections.

Why the Colts can cover

Indianapolis has a versatile and effective secondary that plays fast and stays disciplined behind the scenes. The Colts are 10th in passing yards allowed (207.5). Cornerback Kenny Moore II is a valuable piece in the space for this team. Moore II excels as a blitzer from the rim and has natural ball-throwing skills. The 2021 Pro-Bowler is third on the team in total tackles (19) with one pass deflection.

Stephon Gilmore remains a strong, complete corner on the outside. Gilmore has been instinctive throughout his career with the ability to constantly break up passes. The five-time Pro-Bowl selection currently has 14 total tackles with two pass breakups. Safety Rodney McLeod is a smart veteran at the back who doesn’t make many mistakes and still has solid closing speed. The UVA product has recorded 15 stops, two pass deflections and one interception.

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How to make Broncos vs. Colts

SportsLine’s model skews under the total, asking for a combined 40 points. It also says that one side of the spread charges more than 50% of the simulations. You can only get TNF model selections on SportsLine.

So who wins Colts vs. Broncos on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread is charged more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Colts vs. Broncos jump, all from the advanced model that’s raked in nearly $7,000 on their NFL picks since 2017, and find out.

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