Odds, Line, Broncos Vs. Colts: Thursday Night Football Picks, Advanced Model NFL Predictions

Nathaniel Hackett and the Denver Broncos (2-2) will host Frank Reich and the Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) on Thursday Night Football. Hackett and his ball club have been up and down thus far and hope to find their rhythm offensively despite not having running back Javonte Williams (knee). Also, the Colts are playing like an inconsistent football team and will be without star running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle).

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as a three-point favorite in the latest Broncos vs. Colts. The plus/minus for total points is 42. Before making Colts vs. Broncos, be sure to check out NFL predictions and SportsLine’s projection model betting tips.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has raised nearly $7,000 for $100 players on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 140-105 streak in the top picks in the NFL dating back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in direct NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed him is way up there.

Now, the model has set his sights on Broncos vs. Colts and simply pinned their TNF picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selections. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Colts vs. Broncos:

  • Spread Broncos vs. Colts: Denver-3
  • Broncos vs. Colts over/under: 42 points
  • Broncos money line vs. Colts: Indianapolis +143, Denver -170
  • IND: Colts are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games following a straight loss
  • DEN: Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with losing road records
  • Broncos picks vs. Colts: See picks here

Why the Broncos can cover

Denver’s defensive line has players who can create pressure and chase down the quarterback. Defensive end Dre’Mont Jones is underrated and constantly making plays. Jones is solid against the run with quick moves to get to the backfield. The Ohio State product has 14 total tackles, three TFLs and two sacks. Bradley Chubb is another borderline force for the Broncos.

Chubb possesses long arms and a variety of moves to evade blockers. The 2020 Pro Bowler blasts off the line and is very active. He is leading the team in sacks (three) along with three tackles for loss. Cornerback Patrick Surtain II has been playing well during the first quarter of the season. Surtain II possesses elite size, length and instincts with flowing hips. The Alabama product thrives in man coverage, but is excellent in the zone. He has recorded a team-high 15 tackles with four pass deflections.

Why the Colts can cover

Indianapolis defensive end Kwity Paye is an athletic pass-rusher who possesses fast, powerful hands. Paye is also quick off the edge and beats blockers with speed. The 2021 first-round pick has a team-high 16 tackles, five TFLs and three sacks. Last week he recorded three stops in total with a sack.

Yannick Ngakoue is an opposing force to Paye. Ngakoue is another sprinter who uses his quickness to beat defenders. The Maryland product explodes off the line with powerful hands and agility. He currently has seven total tackles, two TFLs and one sack. Defensive tackle Grover Stewart helps block the run in the middle of the defense. Stewart is quick enough to get rid of blockers and wrap up opponents. The 2017 fourth-round pick has recorded 15 total stops along with two tackles for loss.

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How to make Broncos vs. Colts

SportsLine’s model skews under the total, asking for a combined 40 points. It also says that one side of the spread charges more than 50% of the simulations. You can only get TNF model selections on SportsLine.

So who wins Colts vs. Broncos on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread is charged more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Colts vs. Broncos jump, all from the advanced model that’s raked in nearly $7,000 on their NFL picks since 2017, and find out.

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