A pair of Midwestern rivals meet on the grid once again as Iowa and Iowa State battle it out for the Cy-Hawk Trophy in Week 2 college football action.
Both clubs are coming off wins in their season openers: for Iowa State, a convincing 31-point victory over southeastern Missouri State, and for Iowa, an infamous 7-3 victory over South Dakota State in which the Hawkeyes did not win. they recorded a touchdown. in a legendarily poor offensive performance.
Here’s what you need to know about this week 2 matchup.
how to look
When: Saturday, September 10
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Television: Red Big Ten
Stream: fuboTV (Start your free trial)
Odds, point spread, betting lines
Line: Iowa -3.5
S/U: 40
Money line: IOWA -200, ISU +145
FPI Choice: State of Iowa 58.5%
Iowa vs. Iowa State: What to See
Iowa: Let’s just say the Hawkeyes’ debut was disappointing. A win is a win, but this offense stalled as Iowa’s defense scored two safeties. The unit will improve moderately during the season, but it feels like it hit its ceiling with Spencer Petras at quarterback. There’s a running game to develop here if Iowa wants after Leshon Williams had 72 yards in Game 1. Defense is the Hawkeyes’ specialty, and it should generate a turnover or two against a Cyclones team that is still trying to find itself.
State of Iowa: Finding yourself could be quite an easy task when looking at the core of the cyclone attack. Hunter Dekkers looked solid in Game 1, going 25 of 31 for just under 300 yards with 4 TDs and an interception. He has a big target in Xavier Hutchinson who has scored 3 times on 8 receptions for 128 yards. Add Jirehl Brock, who had 16 carries for 104 yards and a TD, and Iowa State has the ingredients to build something interesting.
Iowa vs. Iowa State: Basic Facts
+ Will McDonald has 22 sacks in the last 2 years for Iowa State, second most nationally
+ Iowa has won the last 6 against ISU with a 175-98 lead
+ Iowa State went 4-for-4 in the red zone in Week 1, rushing for two TDs and going through two others
+ Iowa is 22-6 in their last 28 rivalry trophy games overall
+ 21 of Matt Campbell’s 34 losses at ISU were by 1 score
+ Iowa is 110-19 under Kirk Ferentz when rushing for 150+ yards in a game and 69-6 when rushing for 200+
+ Iowa State allowed 105 points in the second half of games since the start of 2021, an average of 7.5 points
+ Iowa is 97-9 with Ferentz when he scores 30 or more in a game
+ Cyclones have limited opponents to under 300 yards in 20 games since 2017
+ Hawkeyes are 142-28 when leading at halftime with Ferentz
+ Iowa State was second nationally in red zone offense last season, converting 47 of 49 possessions (95.9 percent)
+ Iowa is 110-25 with Ferentz in winning the turnover battle
+ Iowa State has reached 400 yards of offense in 13 of its last 18 games
+ Iowa is averaging 20.4 points per game with Spencer Petras starting at QB
+ In 10 of 24 losses since 2017, ISU led or tied in the fourth quarter
What happens?
Naturally, attention in Iowa is drawn to those lone 7 points he scored in Game 1, and that deserves serious criticism.
And unless last week was a ruse on the part of Kirk Ferentz to hide some secret and more daring offensive strategy to surprise his rival, expect more of the same in the future.
But take a look at the Hawkeyes’ defensive lineup, a unit that from line to safety is made up of a solid core of smart, physical pieces with the skill and power to block the Cyclones’ still burgeoning offensive attack.
Iowa State badly needs to cut down on their turnovers in this game. In last season’s Cy-Hawk matchup, the Cyclones gave up 4 to their opponents, who scored 20 of their 27 points against them.
Take care of the football and open things up a bit earlier, and the Cyclones should have the upper hand on the road.
College Football Venue Prediction: State of Iowa 17, Iowa 10
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