Houston vs. Memphis prediction, odds, line: 2022 Week 6 college football picks, best bets from a proven model

The Houston Cougars aim to right the ship on Friday night. Dana Holgorsen’s team hits the road to take on the Memphis Tigers in a prime time battle between AAC squads. Houston is 2-3 overall and 0-1 in AAC play after a 3-point home loss to Tulane. The Cougars won the 2021 matchup against the Tigers, though Memphis is 4-1 this season after a 24-3 win over Temple in their last outing.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tigers as 2.5-point home favorites in Memphis for this 7:30 pm ET start. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or over/under, is 57.5 in the latest odds for Houston vs. Memphis. Before choosing between Memphis and Houston, you should check out SportsLine’s advanced computer model college football predictions and betting tips.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $3,100 for $100 players on their best college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed him has seen huge gains.

Now, the model has set his sights on Houston vs. Memphis and simply posted their CFB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine to see his picks. Now, here are various college football odds and betting lines for Memphis vs. Houston:

  • Difference between Houston and Memphis: Memphis -2.5
  • Houston vs. Memphis over/under: 57.5 points
  • Houston vs. Memphis money line: Memphis -135, Houston +115
  • HOU: Cougars are 1-4 against the spread in 2022
  • MEM: Tigers are 2-3 against the spread this season
  • Houston vs. Memphis Tips: See Picks Here

Why Houston can cover

Led by Clayton Tune, Houston’s offense is dangerous. The Cougars are averaging nearly 31 points per game with three times as many touchdown passes as interceptions in 2022. Houston is moving chains effectively, converting 50% of third-down opportunities, and Tune has tremendous experience. The veteran sign-caller has over 9,000 career passing yards with 1,201 yards and nine touchdowns in 2022. Tune is also capable on the ground with 193 rushing yards and two touchdowns, and can connect with an elite pass-catching option on Nathaniel Dell. .

Dell ranks in the top five of the AAC with 33 receptions and 453 yards this season, coming off a 2021 campaign in which he produced more than 1,300 receiving yards. Memphis has allowed more passing yards (288.0 per game) than any other team in the AAC this season, and the Tigers have the third-worst mark in the conference in total defense (400.2 yards allowed per game). Memphis has just seven sacks in five games, and opposing quarterbacks produced 8.0 yards per pass attempt in 2022.

Why Memphis can cover

Memphis is well prepared to put up an impressive offensive performance on Friday. The Tigers are very efficient this season, averaging 34.4 points per game and 402.4 total yards per game. Led by second-year quarterback Seth Henigan, the Tigers have nine touchdown passes and one interception in 2022, and Henigan is also a double threat with 149 rushing yards, even when sacks are factored in. Henigan threw for more than 3,300 yards and 25 touchdowns with just eight interceptions last season, and Houston’s air defense is porous.

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The Cougars are second-lowest in the AAC in passing yards allowed (273.6 per game) and no ACC team has allowed more touchdown passes (12) than Houston. The Cougars are also giving up 34.0 points per game with the second-worst mark in the AAC in total yards allowed at 408.4 per game. With Memphis also putting together a strong defensive performance with eight interceptions and 3.2 yards per carry allowed this season, the Tigers look good at home.

How to make predictions between Houston and Memphis

SportsLine’s model leans on total points, projecting teams to combine for 67 points. The model also says that one side of the differential hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only view model CFB selections here.

So who wins Houston vs. memphis? And which side of the difference affects more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the difference between Houston and Memphis you should jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed your college football picks, and find out.

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