Formula 1 DFS Picks and Italian Grand Prix Preview

Pirelli Italian Grand Prix

Location: Monza, Italy
Grade: Monza National Autodrome
Course duration: 5.79km
Laps: 53

Italian Grand Prix Race Preview

Max Verstappen won for the tenth time this season in front of a boisterous home crowd last week at Zandvoort. The defending champion first took pole position over Charles Leclerc on Saturday before going on to win Sunday’s race. However, the day was anything but easy. Mercedes and Lewis Hamilton seemed to have selected the pit strategy that would win the day, but multiple safety car periods, coupled with quick tire changes between the protagonists, turned the race into a pendulum that swung back and forth between Verstappen and Hamilton. On soft tires for the final restart, Verstappen jumped over Hamilton’s Mercedes at the first corner and raced away to victory. Hamilton dropped to fourth while his teammate George Russell, also on soft tyres, moved up to second. The victory put Verstappen 109 points ahead of Leclerc in qualifying for this week’s Italian Grand Prix.

The Italian Grand Prix is ​​the fastest on the Formula 1 calendar. This race has also produced surprise winners in recent years with Daniel Ricciardo and Pierre Gasly winning the last two stops on the track. Power is likely to be a more important factor at this track than tire strategy at Zandvoort. Monza’s long straights offer plenty of opportunities for drivers to use DRS and draft to overtake, making those stops less important than they were last week. Ferrari will want to make the most of their cars and drivers this week as they visit their famous Tifosi fan base and try to end Verstappen and Red Bull Racing’s winning streak.

Key stats at Monza

  • Races: 76
  • Winners from pole: 26
  • Top 5 starters winners: 65
  • Winners of the top 10 starters: 75
  • Winners of starters 21 or under: 0
  • Fastest race: 247,835 km/h

10 previous Monza winners

2021 – Daniel Ricciardo
2020 – Pierre Gasly
2019 – Carlos Leclerc
2018-Lewis Hamilton
2017-Lewis Hamilton
2016 – Nico Rosberg
2015-Lewis Hamilton
2014-Lewis Hamilton
2013 – Sebastian Vettel
2012-Lewis Hamilton

The first Italian Grand Prix at Monza was held in 1931, and the track’s long straights and high-speed corners make it the fastest track the Formula 1 series visits. downforce and drag of their cars to ensure they get the maximum top speed out of their machines. While track position is important, it’s not as critical a factor as we saw last week at Zandvoort. Monza’s long DRS zones allow drivers to overtake at multiple points around the track, but drivers will need to be careful when overtaking and defending as contact is not uncommon entering the track’s tighter chicanes. That contact potential, coupled with high demand for the engines, has created recent attrition that has helped surprise winners. Red Bull Racing has a power advantage, which could be the deciding factor for this weekend’s race. However, fantasy players should know that Ferrari will be working to close that gap for their home race. The 2021 edition of this race featured a sprint race to set the field for the main event, but traditional qualifying is back for 2022 and the weekend qualifying and practice sessions will be the best indication of what the fantasy players should look forward to Sunday’s race.

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DRAFTKINGS VALUE PICKS for the Italian Grand Prix (based on a standard salary cap of $50,000)

DraftKings Tier 1 Values

Max Verstappen – $12,200
Charles Leclerc – $11,000
Lewis Hamilton – $10,400

DraftKings Tier 2 Values

George Russell – $9,800
Carlos Sainz Jr.- $9,200
Sergio Perez – $8,600

DraftKings Tier 3 Values

Fernando Alonso – $7,200
Pierre Gasly – $6,200
Valetteri Bottas – $5,600

DraftKings Builder Values

red bull – $12,100
Ferraris – $11,100

Formula 1 DFS selections for the Italian Grand Prix

Team Captain – Max Verstappen – $18,300
Pierre Gasly – $6,200
Valtteri Bottas – $5,600
Spear Ride – $4,800
Mike Schumacher – $4,000
Builder – Ferrari – $11,000

Red Bull Racing’s wins and power advantage this season make Verstappen one of the best options for the Italian Grand Prix. Ferrari could surprise at their home race, but that’s why they make a good selection for Constructor this week. Verstappen never won at Monza and failed to finish the last two races there. However, his current form, coupled with Red Bull’s reliability and speed this season, should make the difference for him this time. AlphaTauri has been upgrading their cars throughout the season, and fantasy players may want to take advantage of that this weekend. The car has had one of the fastest top speeds this season, and its updates have made the car more consistent on all types of circuits. Pierre Gasly won the Italian Grand Prix in 2020 and could be a valuable addition to the line-ups this week. Valtteri Bottas will take a grid penalty this week, but that means he should have a more reliable car for Sunday’s race. He won the sprint race at Monza last season and raced to third from 19th starting position after another grid penalty. Lance Stroll finished seventh at Monza last season. He finished third in the 2020 race and overtook teammate Sebastian Vettel last week at Zandvoort. The Haas F1 team has Ferrari engines, which also gives them extra incentive to get through this week. Mick Schumacher finished 15th in his only previous start at Monza last season, but has been capable of top-10 finishes on occasion this year. This race should give you one shot at another. As mentioned above, Ferrari should be a main consideration for their home race. The team will give everything they can this week to make it to the top, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see both teammates on the podium at the end of the day.

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Formula 1 Betting Tips for the Italian Grand Prix (Odds via Draft Kings sports betting)

Race Winner – Charles Leclerc +600
Winning Constructor – Ferrari +400
Margin of Victory: Less than five seconds +135
Fastest lap – Carlos Sainz Jr. +1100
Safety Car – No +125

The odds of winning a race for Leclerc could be excellent value this week. Ferrari’s top driver, still in contention for the drivers’ championship, at the team’s home race are factors that combine for an optimal scenario for Leclerc this week. The risk is that Ferrari stays a step behind its rivals at Red Bull, but fans should expect them to be in the mix this week at Monza. The choice of Ferrari as the winning constructor follows the same logic. Both of the team’s drivers are likely to finish the race in podium positions, and only a mistake by Verstappen or Red Bull could open the door to a very famous victory for the team. With a closer race expected this week, opting for the winning margin to be less than five seconds also makes more sense. The track is famous for drafting, and the DRS zones could keep the top competitors closer together during the race. The risk with this move again is that Red Bull maintains its superiority and Ferrari cannot keep in touch through the weekend. Given the Italian manufacturer’s single-lap competitiveness this season, selecting one of the Ferrari drivers should also be the way to go for the fastest lap in the race. Carlos Sainz Jr. offers significantly better odds to claim that honor this week, and the battle for that fastest lap is likely to come down to a Red Bull or Ferrari driver. Therefore, we are going with Sainz this week for the fastest lap. The Italian Grand Prix at Monza normally moves very quickly. The wide areas of runoff and the tendency for contact to generally occur on slower curves make local warnings the most frequent option. A safety car might be necessary for contact on the first lap, but if the field can be kept clean in the first few corners, there’s a good chance the rest of the race will stay clean too.

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