With the Boston College Football season on the horizon, it’s time for another installment of Peter’s Gambling Odds! I really enjoyed doing this segment last year and I think it would be only fair to spend my weekend looking at some trends and giving my less than expert advice on which way I lean week in and week out on the Eagles covering Vegas Lines. In no way should this be interpreted as a definitive answer on where you should put your money, but rather as a look at the numbers and a mere layman’s suggestion as to where to place your bets. Without further ado, let’s get into the Eagles’ season opener against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.
As of this writing, the Eagles open against the Scarlet Knights as -7 favorites according to BetMGM with the O/U at 48.5. Naturally, I always get a bit wary when the first few lines appear as integers. I think the fear is ingrained in me because I feel like every time I put money into a touchdown hard cover, I’m also going in with the utmost confidence that said team will easily reach that margin and beat it. With BC, this has burned me too many times, so I definitely want to take a look at the history here between these two shows before my final verdict.
Rutgers Season Forecast
Last season, Rutgers had a less-than-favorable one-season result. They finished 5-8 overall and 2-7 in the Big Ten. It was a season step in the right direction for the Knights, who in the year before COVID finished with just three wins. However, they are still a young team that still seem to have their legs in the sea and last year regressed overall as an offense. They finished 120th nationally in total and scoring offense. Defensively, they were more robust and put in some solid performances last season against top-tier competition in their one-touchdown loss to Michigan and are returning some star-studded talent at the secondary position with the return of starters Kessawn Abraham and Max Melton. .
In general, the consensus is that this team, while showing solid defense, has a lot to be desired offensively. This could cause them some problems throughout the season and could still cause some growing pains. Not to mention, they’re stuck in a tough conference where their season’s back-9 could lead to some blowout losses. With that being said, the rhythm of their season starts with the Eagles and they will surely be looking to make a standout win at Chestnut Hill.
History against the eagles
The Eagles come into this matchup touting an 11-game winning streak against the Knights and haven’t lost to Rutgers since 1995. In those 11 games, BC has won by an average score of 19.36 points, which is a pretty significant margin. Through this simple analysis, it’s clear that the Eagles have had the Rutgers number pretty well both on the road and at home for the past two decades.
With a high-flying offense that the Eagles have been promoting during their offseason with very high expectations, I don’t see the Eagles losing this season opener this Saturday. Rutgers still shows signs of an uneven balance between offense and defense and I anticipate a lot of problems stemming from the offensive side of the ball for them. Combining this with the history that the Eagles have dominated the Knights by an average score of 19.36 points over the last twenty years instills a little more confidence in me, hitting BC on the spread here. Okay, I guarantee there will be some nerves in Game 1 as usual, but I have a feeling a moving Aluminum Stadium will block those nerves early in the second quarter. I don’t want to put any money into the O/U just yet until I see what the Eagles’ offense is capable of, so I’ll just put my eggs in the basket that the BC deck has.
Ultimate Prediction: Boston University-7 | Less than 48.5 | BCML