2022 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: How to Pick From the 4th Overall Pick in a 0.5-PPR League

When last season’s best Fantasy Football player falls to you with the No. 4 pick, there’s no point questioning it. Don’t look a gift horse in the teeth, as the saying goes, just take Cooper Kupp. Sure, he may not repeat last year’s historic production, but even a 10% drop overall would still outperform every other wide receiver from at least the last decade, and that’s only because I didn’t look any further back than that. .

There are some analysts who have made the move to Justin Jefferson as the No. 1 wide receiver, but if I’m picking anywhere after No. 3 overall in any league other than PPR, and Kupp is on the board, he he’s on my team. After that, the choices in our last pick-by-pick series were a bit more difficult.

The last time we did this exercise, I was also taking fourth and I took Tyreek Hill with my third-round pick; this time, I took it in the second. And he wasn’t even sure if he loved the value of him the third time last. What changed? Well, I’m feeling a lot more optimistic about Miami’s offense after watching them in the preseason, and this 0.5 PPR format makes my worries about Hill’s sack total a little less of a concern. He’ll get a lot of touches on Miami’s offense, and while the explosive plays will be a little less plentiful without Patrick Mahomes, he’ll still generate big yards on a regular basis.

Here’s the rest of my team from No. 4:

1.4: Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams
2.9: Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins
3.4: Josh Allen, quarterback, bills
4.9: Ezekiel Elliott, RHP, Cowboys
5.4: DK Metcalf, WR, Seahawks
6.9: Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions
7.4: Devin Singletary, RB, Bills
8.9: Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots
9.4: Chris Olave, WR, Santos
10.9: Isaiah McKenzie, WR, Bills
11.4: Albert Okwuegbunam, TE, Broncos
12.9: Romeo Doubs, WR, Packers
13.4: JD McKissic, RB, Commanders
9.14: Eno Benjamin, RHP, Cardinals
4.15: Velus Jones Jr., WR, Bears

It’s funny, in our two pick-by-pick series, I ended up with Allen and Hill in the second and third rounds, I just switched the order. And, just like last time, I only had one rider in my first six picks. I don’t love Elliott as my RB1, especially given Tyron Smith’s knee/hamstring injury, but Elliott still feels like a pretty high floor pick – among running backs likely to be available in the fourth or fifth round, probably not There isn’t anyone with a better chance of averaging, say, 12-13 0.5-PPR points per game; probably doesn’t have a super realistic path to, say, 20 PPG.

But I think I made up for it with a great body from WR, but also some really nice complementary runners. The preseason use of Devin Singletary suggests he could have a role similar to the one that closed out last season, as he dominated first-team replays alongside Allen; I don’t expect Singletary to average 17.5 0.5-PPR points per game like he has in the last six games, including the playoffs, but he should be a solid starter. And Stevenson could be more than solid as a possible pass catcher for the Patriots, aside from any rushing jobs he can deflect from Damien Harris. Between those three, he should have two good backs most weeks.

drafting of: 1 | two | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 (Ed.: 7-12 next Friday)

Favorite Pick: Albert Okwuegbunam

Okwuegbunam has become my tight end at the end of the round. There was some consternation among fantasy analysts when Okwuegbunam played well into the fourth quarter in the second preseason game, but the Broncos said at the time it was just about getting him to need reps while he was learning a new role on offense, and then proceeded to seat him alongside the rest of the starters in the third preseason game. Okwuegbunam will have a great opportunity in this offense as the No. 3 option, and he won’t be surprised if he lines up in space regularly. Rookie Greg Dulcich is on IR to open the season, which only gives me more confidence in Okwuegbunam.

Pick I Might Regret: Josh Allen

I’m committed to picking one of the top quarterbacks in most of my leagues, and when I’m in the draft with my QB-hating peers, that usually means Allen in the early rounds. And there’s always the risk that Allen is just plain old instead of a near-30 PPG scorer, in which case I might regret making this kind of bet on him. I don’t think he will, his skill set is too valuable, but if he runs a little less near the goal line, it could happen.

Player who could make or break my team: Ezekiel Elliott

Elliott has been better than he’s probably given credit for when healthy the past two seasons, but between a lingering knee injury last season and a calf problem in 2020, he’s been playing very limply. Add in the loss of the Cowboys’ starting left tackle for what could be the entire season, and this could be a tough time for Elliott to thrive. I don’t think there’s a lot of realistic chance of Elliott losing playing time to Tony Pollard, but the worst outcome could be that Elliott is active all season and just isn’t good enough to be worthwhile as a starter, as he was during much of last season.

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